Tuesday, May 22

Technical Calls:Educomp,Opto Circuit and HUL

“Deciding when to cut your losses is one of the toughest decisions for anyone to make, but traders at the top of their game know that they always have to make the decisions they need to make, which may or may not be the ones they want to make”



Opto Circuit

Opto Circuit would be declaring its results today.Stock is unable to sustain and close above its 20 SMA 178 which means technically stocks look week.Break of 168 can lead to panic selling in stock and on higher end 178-182 range will act as stiff resistance

Sell below 173.5  Tgt...



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Monday, May 21

FII Derivatives Analysis for 22 May Trade

FII FnO Analysis for 22 May trade in Nifty Future

1. FII  sold 22391  Contracts of Index Futures worth 547  cores OI increased by 3607.
2. As Nifty Futures was up  by 4  points with  OI increased  by 3607 , FII has liquidated there longs created on Friday and still no fresh shorts have been added in system,Why i say so FII Trend Deciding levels has increased by 10 points to 4671 which means no shorts were added. Rise in Trend Deciding levels means no shorts have entered the system.
3. 4960 was the laxman rekha for bulls and Nifty made a high of 4938 and retreated back,Also we have mentioned the NF range as 4932 in Facebook page and Nifty made a high of 4931.95 and came back.All attempts to go above 4932 were sold into.Now till we are below 4960 bears have upperhand.

4.Good thing about todays pullback was we have filled the gap in opening from...

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FII Derivatives Analysis for 21May Trade

FII FnO Analysis for 21 May trade in Nifty Future
As we have discussed in Last Thursday (Click on Link to see ) post Nifty looks ripe for Bounce and fresh shorting should not be done,Nifty obliged us with opening gap down and showing a quick recovery and rallied to almost 122 points. Hope traders make good money on Friday.
1. FII  sold 297  Contracts of Index Futures worth 20 cores OI decreased by 22009.
2. As Nifty Futures was up  by 34  points and 122 points from days low with  OI decreased  by 22009 , which signify shorts were covered by FII.Still no signs of long addition so till now it is just a technical bounce.
3. 78.6% Fibo Retracement from 4531-5630 comes at 4767 and Nifty Spot made a low of...

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Sunday, May 20

Nifty Weekly Technical Analysis for Week Begining 21 May

Nifty continued with its down move  and made a low of 4788 but outperformed rest of world markets as we are down only 0.8% WoW basis. Last week as we discussed below 4995 trend remain bearish and Nifty made a high of 4957 and reached to 4788.Click Here to Read the Previous Week Analysis

Indian markets are facing the double whammy of rising Indian Rupee as it touched almost 55 odd levels,Life time low with  rising Inflation as April Inflation came at 7.23%Greece the small economy has kept the world markets on its toes on whether it will remain in and out of Eurozone. Greece leaving Eurozone will be Lehman Moment of 2012 and cost run in almost trillion dollars.Greece has declared election on 17 June which gives lot of time to ECB and World Leaders to prepare a contingency plan for Greece Exit.

Facebook Listed on NASDAQ on Friday and closed almost at its 38.23 near to its offer price.Facebook net worth is now 104 Billion Dollars.
In simple valuation terms, Facebook's stock is trading at 105 times its 2011 earnings. This means that in 2011, the company's profits stood at US$ 1 bn. For any company to justify such valuations, its earnings growth needs to be phenomenally high. How Facebook will capitalise on its 900 m plus user base (and one that is still growing), will definitely be interesting.
Lets jump into Technical.

Nifty Hourly Chart



Nifty hourly charts are giving sign of reversals as it is breaking the downward slopping trendline from running from 5300. Close....

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Saturday, May 19

Perfection and Discipline in trading

Before taking a trade how many times have you thought i will buy at bottom and sell at top.
How many times have you removed your Stoploss after feeding it but removed it once price started coming near Sl.
How many times have you lost all profits earned in a trade and end up being a losser
If you have the above mentioned problems in trading

Reason is need for perfection

A common trait among newer traders, or among traders that are not profitable is a need for perfection. With so much noise in the media, blogs, and forums about calling tops and bottoms, one would think it’s a trader’s job to predict such things. Expecting to nail the top or bottom is a recipe for frustration and inconsistent performance.
For the discretionary trader, perfectionism is the enemy of the good.  Trading is about making money while simultaneously controlling risk, it has nothing to do with perfectionism. All traders have some degree of perfectionism, but some have more than others.  The variation in perfectionism is due to personality differences, and the different career backgrounds that some people bring to trading.
Traders with strong perfectionist tendencies often equate taking a loss with failure. For these traders, a losing trade often marks the beginning of a new ....

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