Thursday, October 10

How to Trade Infosys before Q2 Results

Infosys Q2 Results will be declared before  Friday market opening this will be first result after Narayana Murthy took over the rein of Infy,stock having risen 25% in the past three months
Infosys is famous for Wild swing after the Quarter results as shown in below chart . Past 3 Quarters have been market with Huge gap up and gap downs by more than 10%.  So trading in Infosys is playing with fire 1 day before results day  :)
InfyMost of traders use the option route to trade Infosys so am discussing what option data is revealing 2 days before results.

Option Market Analysis

Open interest on Infosys options rose by 41.5% on Wednesday, two days ahead of the company’s results announcement. The implied volatility of ATM options is at  60-65%, which implies that traders expect a sharp swing in Infosys shares on Friday. Option premiums are now so high that the stock will have to move by well more than 15% for straddle buyers to profit. In a straddle position, traders buy both a call and a put option, expecting to profit from a sharp move in either direction but with such high IV's it does not make a good risk to reward ratio to Buy  straddle and hence traders should avoid the same.


Daily Chart

InfyInfy is taking support at its Fibo Fan and Any move above 3194 gives short term target of 3300 and 3561.

Weekly Chart Time Analysis

Infy TimeTime analysis on Weekly chart is shown, It seems Nifty has created its short term top and any close below 2961 stock will correct till 2817 odd levels.  So 3194 is the level to be watched on.

Intraday Traders can use the below mentioned levels.

Buy above 3132 Tgt 3157,3190 and 3232 SL 3109

Sell below 3080 Tgt 3060,3040 and 3000 SL 3109

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