2014 Lok Sabha Election:Can NDA win 272 seats, Political Analysis
Lok Sabha Election results will be out of 16 May. Lets discuss the possibility of NDA gaining the magic Figure of 272
The NDA performance in 2009 election was BJP (116 Lok Sabha seats), Shiv Sena (11) and Shiromani Akali Dal (4). To achieve the magic figure of It must more than double its present seat-tally to reach the half-way mark. This means raising its percentage-share of the national vote from 21.2 to over 30.
This is a far bigger task than the highest jump in seats and votes ever achieved by the BJP, when it rose from 161 seats and 20.3 percent (1996) to 182 seats and 25.6 percent (1998) and collected enough allies to form an opportunist coalition.
For the NDA to come to power in 2014, the BJP must win about 200 (if not 210-220) Lok Sabha seats to create a nucleus around which smaller parties can coalesce and form a winning alliance. NDA is now again of 25 parties which has done pre -poll alliance.
Winning 200-220 seats, up from 116, is a tall order. So where can the seats come from?
BJP’s success will hinge primarily on making huge gains in three major states—Uttar Pradesh (80 seats), Bihar (40) and Maharashtra (48).
In addition, the BJP must further improve on its
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The NDA performance in 2009 election was BJP (116 Lok Sabha seats), Shiv Sena (11) and Shiromani Akali Dal (4). To achieve the magic figure of It must more than double its present seat-tally to reach the half-way mark. This means raising its percentage-share of the national vote from 21.2 to over 30.
This is a far bigger task than the highest jump in seats and votes ever achieved by the BJP, when it rose from 161 seats and 20.3 percent (1996) to 182 seats and 25.6 percent (1998) and collected enough allies to form an opportunist coalition.
For the NDA to come to power in 2014, the BJP must win about 200 (if not 210-220) Lok Sabha seats to create a nucleus around which smaller parties can coalesce and form a winning alliance. NDA is now again of 25 parties which has done pre -poll alliance.
Winning 200-220 seats, up from 116, is a tall order. So where can the seats come from?
BJP’s success will hinge primarily on making huge gains in three major states—Uttar Pradesh (80 seats), Bihar (40) and Maharashtra (48).
In addition, the BJP must further improve on its
posted by Bramesh at
5:42 PM
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