Are you a good risk manager ?
Trading is not really about prediction or being right or wrong. It is
really about how much are you willing to risk to find out. It’s easy to
take the approach of, ‘is this trade going to work or not’, and in
reality, we can’t help but think that way on a certain level. But
because we will never know before hand, and because protecting capital
is rule number one, we must attend to risk management and have flexible
expectations instead of thinking in terms of ‘prediction’.
A set-up with a 50% win rate does not mean that the next 6 out of 10 trades will be winners . An objective market statistic based upon the past can not become a market probability about the future unless the same exact market participants are present and continue to act in the same way. Each trade, and each moment in the market, is unique for this reason.
The main point
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A set-up with a 50% win rate does not mean that the next 6 out of 10 trades will be winners . An objective market statistic based upon the past can not become a market probability about the future unless the same exact market participants are present and continue to act in the same way. Each trade, and each moment in the market, is unique for this reason.
The main point
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