Saturday, August 31

Nifty and Bank Nifty Trading Strategy

FII
  • FIIs sold 5588 contracts of Index Future (Entered long in fresh 14889 Contracts and  20477 fresh shorts were added) worth 155 cores with net Open Interest increasing by 35366 contracts. Today's rise also FII are entering shorts at higher levels.Also FII did lot of intraday trading which is visible from wild swing we got in Intraday. It has been an awesome series with profit of 1.89 lakh as per Intraday Stock performance@http://tradingsystemperformance.blogspot.in/ 
Nifty has taken support at last fibo fan support as discussed and continued with its pullback. As per classical technical analysis Nifty is unable to close above its previous support of 5477..
Continue Reading

TRADING STRATEGIES USING STOCHASTIC

Developed by George C. Lane in the late 1950s, the Stochastic Oscillator is a momentum indicator that shows the location of the close relative to the high-low range over a set number of periods. According to an interview with Lane,

    The Stochastic Oscillator "doesn't follow price, it doesn't follow volume or anything like that. It follows the speed or the momentum of price.As a rule, the momentum changes direction before price." As such, bullish and bearish divergences in the Stochastic Oscillator can be used to foreshadow reversals. This was the first, and most important, signal that Lane identifie dBecause the Stochastic Oscillator is range bound, is also useful for identifying overbought and oversold levels.

CALCULATION

%K = (Current Close - Lowest Low) / (Highest High - Lowest Low) * 100
%D = 3-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of %K

Lowest Low = Lowest Low for the look-back period
Highest High = Highest High for the look-back period
Note: %K is multiplied..
Continue Reading

Friday, August 30

W.D.Gann's trading secrets

Some of today’s great trading philosophies actually date back to the early to mid-1900s.And W.D. Gann, Jesse Livermore and Richard D. Wyckoff all were considered "market mavens" of that time,according to author Jim Wyckoff.
"They stressed hard work and preparation as pre-conditions for successful trading of markets. Their work is still valid and renowned by successful traders of all markets worldwide."
Gann’s 28 Valuable Rules. It is best that you read these rules once a day before you make a trade.
1. Amount of capital to use: Divide your capital into 10 equal parts and never risk more than one-tenth of your capital on any one trade.
2. Use stop loss orders. Always protect a trade when you make it with a stop loss order 1 to 3 cents, never more than 5 cents away, cotton 20 to 40, never more than 60 points away.
3. Never overtrade. This would be violating your capital rules.
4. Never let a profit..
Continue Reading

Coal India,Rcom and IDFC Technical analysis

IDFC

IDFCIDFC after the recent fall has taken the excat support at fibo fan, and also closed above an important level of 81. Positional traders can take long above 84 for target of 89 in short term.

Buy above 84 Tgt..


Continue Reading

Thursday, August 29

Nifty Outlook for Sep Series

FII
  • FIIs bought 21533 contracts of Index Future (Booked  profit in 284902 shorts and 102716  longs were squared off ) worth 575 cores with net Open Interest decreasing by 387618 contracts. Today's rise was backed by short covering and fresh positions will be take tomorrow.It has been an awesome series with profit of 1.89 lakh as per Intraday Stock performance@http://tradingsystemperformance.blogspot.in/ 
Nifty has taken support at last fibo fan support a..
Continue Reading

Hope and Regret in Trading

Big Swings came in market in August and many traders emotions were high as Markets were swinging wildly.Many traders "Hoped" of making a killing and few are living in "Regret" of missing the rally. Lets analyze both Hope and Regret emotions and understand how these are fatal for your trading career.

Hope

Hope is a feeling of expectation and desire for a certain thing to happen. It’s an individual’s desire to want or wish for a desired event to happen.
Hope may be the most dangerous of all human emotions when it comes to trading. Hope is what keeps a trader in a losing trade after it has hit the stop. Greed and hope are what often prevent a trader from taking profits on a winning trade. When a stock is going up, traders will often remain in the trade in the “hope” of

Continue Reading

Ideas to Save Rupee downfall

Rupee is trading near 69 and today after RBI intervention came down till 67 today.
Below are measures the RBI and govt could consider to protect the rupee:

  • Dollar-window for oil companies: The RBI could open a dollar window for oil companies to buy dollars directly from the central bank instead of buying from markets, but it would drain foreign exchange reserves. -- This RBI implemented yesterday.

  • Dollars for oil bonds: The RBI could hold auctions to buy bonds from oil companies, providing them dollars or other non-rupee currencies, but the outstanding amount of oil bonds is small as the government has been giving direct cash subsidy to oil companies

Asking exporters to..
Continue Reading

Stock Technical Analysis:Cairn,Bata and Maruti

Cairn India

cairnCairn India has given a breakout out of its trading range, and close above an important level of 322.Holding 322 on closing basis stock can move till 343 odd levels in short term.

Buy above 330 Tgt..

 

Continue Reading

Wednesday, August 28

FII FnO Analysis for August Derivative Expiry

FII
  • FIIs sold 14078 contracts of Index Future (Entered fresh shorts in 24661 contracts and fresh longs in  10583 Longs) worth 370 cores with net Open Interest increasing by 35244 contracts. So as per data analysis, FII's are still entering in fresh shorts  in NF and BNF,Today we saw the recovery but still rise is used by FII's used the rise to short the index.
Nifty yesterday closed below the Chopad level of 5296 ..
Continue Reading

Reasons why the rupee is falling every day

The rupee fell past 69 to the dollar to a record low on Wednesday, plunging as much as 4 per cent to hit 69.08, The rupee has fallen by 9 % in the last few trading sessions. Here are 10 main reasons that experts say are responsible for the Indian rupee -- which has depreciated as much as 20 per cent this year -- to touch new lows each passing day:
  • Food Security Bill, after it got passed in LS day before yesterday, Rupee took it for a ride and fall got accentuated from past 2 tradign session. It is an ambitious program by Sonia Gandhi which Indian Economy is not willing to bear.
Low forex reserves: India's foreign exchange reserves are enough to cover imports of only seven months. The forex reserves have declined in the recent months. Due to low

Continue Reading

Stock Calls:LT, Yes Bank and REC

Larsen and Tubro

LTLT has formed double bottom at 698. Double bottom are strong reversal pattern,validation will come when 698 is not broken for next 2 days. Any close below 698 will see the stock correcting till 665 odd levels. Holding 698 can see LT bounceback till 754 odd levels.

Buy above 715 Tgt..



Continue Reading

Tuesday, August 27

Nifty Crashes below 5300 as Rupee hits record low

FII
  • FIIs sold 20381 contracts of Index Future (Entered fresh shorts in 25388 contracts and fresh longs in  5007 Longs) worth 542 cores with net Open Interest increasing by 30395 contracts. So as per data analysis, FII's are still entering in fresh shorts  in NF and BNF,I have been cautioning from past 2 days a big downside is on cards looking at the way FII are shorting the Index, and Food Security Bill was the trigger for the big downside we saw.
Nifty unable to sustain above Weekly Trend Deciding level yesterday

Continue Reading

Rupee at all time low, How it affect a common man

Here's how a weak rupee will affect "Aam Adami"

1. Increase in Petrol and Diesel Price:

Indian is largest importer of crude oil. With Rupee trading at all time low due to bad economy (Read: Reason for Rupee Depreciation against dollar) Oil companies have to pay more fr getting crude oil and as Petrol and Diesel are de-regulated by India government, Oil Companies will pass on the increase in prices to common man. So get ready for Hike in your Petrol/Diesel monthly bill.

2. Increase in Gold prices:

Again We all Indians love Gold, off late due to fall in gold prices has seen a buying frezy in Gold. As gold and Silver are priced in USD so again Gold will become costly for us. (Read:RBI ask Banks not to Sell Gold Coins)

3.  Increase Cost for abroad


Continue Reading

How Rupee Fall increase FII's Loss ?

Nifty has been falling like 9 Pins, Large Caps have turned to Mid Caps, Mid Caps into Small Caps. Retailers are running away from market, But one talk i always hear when i talk to anyone related to market FII's are manipulating Indian Market and they never lose money. Well let me put some justification to this fast FII's do lose money and they to have loses in their trading/investing positions. Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) are faced with double whammy as Rupee fall further increase their loses.
If your portfolio mimicked the Nifty, you would have made a loss of 6 per cent so far this year. But FIIs lost almost three times as much. The S&P Dollex 30 — the dollar-denominated
Continue Reading

Stock Trading Strategies:Axis Bank,JSW Steel and Sesa Goa

Axis Bank

Axis BankAxis bank is approaching its medium term support of  929. Holding the same bounce back can be seen as shown in above chart. Closing below 929 can see axis correcting 898 in short term.

Buy above 935 Tgt..




Continue Reading

Monday, August 26

Nifty Trading Strategy as per FII Data Analysis

FII
  • FIIs sold 36045 contracts of Index Future (Entered fresh shorts in 31007 contracts and booked profit in  5038 Longs) worth 963 cores with net Open Interest increasing by 25969 contracts. So as per data analysis, FII's are still entering in fresh shorts  in NF and BNF,The rally we saw today was backed by short covering and fresh shorts were entered at higher levels. So from past 3 days nifty is rallying and FII's are entering shorts so probably we can see one more downside near expiry.Do remember FII's are always hedged so blindly do not short the market thinking FII's are shorting, Be with your trading system.
Nifty continue with its relief rally, but with range contraction..

Continue Reading

Trading Mantra for aspiring traders

Discipline your self: This is what helps one to gain in the market. When the market movements as per your trading setup asks you to enter, book profit or loss just obey it. Do not let your emotion enter here thinking you will beat the market. You can always enter the position later on instead of repenting at a later stage. After all, you depend on your trading setup to help you and ignoring it will certainly cost you heavily.
Don’t be adamant: Don’t try to beat the market but beat your own EGO. Market will never move in one way. It has to be volatile else everybody would make money. Yes, you did make money in shorting previous times but that certainly not the case always. Your gains from hundreds of trades may be washed out in few trades if you respect your ego.
Learn..
Continue Reading

Intraday/Positional Calls:Idea,JSPL and PFC

Idea

IdeaIdea is trading in a perfect up trending channel and is near the trendline support of 155. Holding 155 and trading above 157 gives target of 165,178 in short term. Any close below 154 will see a quick correction till 144.

Buy above 157 Tgt 158.5..

Continue Reading

Bank Nifty Weekly Technical Analysis for August derivatives expiry

Bank Nifty Hourly

Bank Nifty Hourly
Bank Nifty on hourly chart  is trading in a perfect down trending channel. close above  of 9846 on hourly basis the relief rally can start else we can going sub 9400 levels.

Bank Nifty Daily

Bank Nifty is trading at multi year low and has broken each and every support on downside.Technical chart have been totally decimated and all relief rallies are getting sold into. Only good news for Bulls...

Continue Reading

Nifty Weekly Technical Analysis for August derivatives expiry

Next week is likely to be a volatile one on account of derivatives expiry. Rupee and FII flows would set the tone for the market. Q1 GDP data due 30th August would be keenly watched.
Last week we gave Trend Deciding level as 5556 Nifty  Nifty achieved all 3 target on downside :).Lets analyze how to trade Nifty in Expiry Week.

 Nifty Hourly Chart

nifty hourly
Nifty Hourly charts is trading in perfect ..


Continue Reading

Saturday, August 24

What to do before you want to start trading

Trading  is one of the most exciting and money making profession.As a new trader and hearing the success stories of few people making million in short time  it is tempting to jump in as early as possible head first and seek out those high profits for minimal work.However, the truth is trading has also made more number of people bankrupt and many traders are have quit trading during the course of time.Therefore, rather than jump in head first as your instincts drive you to the fast gains, you should dip a foot first then gradually immerse yourself.There are a few things you really MUST do before you get into Forex/Stocks/ commodity trading in order to ensure your long term profitability.
1. Education
In the  market, you cannot rely on luck like when gambling at a casino. You need to deal in facts and market forces as they occur.Therefore, you need to acquire an education about how  market works.
You need to know how to generate..

Continue Reading

Friday, August 23

Nifty rallies on back of rupee recovery, nifty technical analysis


FII
FIIs sold 24369 contracts of Index Future (Entered fresh shorts in 7061 contracts and booked profit in  17308 Longs) worth 662 cores with net Open Interest decreasing by 10247 contracts. So as per data analysis, FII's are still entering in fresh shorts  in NF and BNF,The rally we saw today was backed by short covering and fresh shorts were entered at higher levels. So from past 2 days nifty is rallying and FII's are entering shorts so probably we can see one more downside near expiry.Do remember FII's are always hedged so blindly do not short the market thinking

Continue Reading

Nifty gives Pullback rally, FII FnO Analysis

FII
  • FIIs sold 29103 contracts of Index Future (Entered fresh shorts in 26820 contracts and booked profit in  2283 Longs) worth 772 cores with net Open Interest increasing by 24537 contracts. So as per data analysis, FII's are still entering in fresh shorts  in NF and BNF,The rally we saw today was backed by short covering and fresh shorts were entered at higher levels. How to deal with Trading Loss
Nifty finally gave the much awaited relief rally in yesterday trading session,still Nifty is trading below..
Continue Reading

Trading Calls: Century Textile,TCS, IBreal

Century Textile

CanBK
Century textile  is trading in perfect downtrending channel and current down move will get over only on close above 233 which gives positional target of 241 and 254 in short term. Any close below 199 will be big fallout for bulls as stock can fall as low as 178 in short term

Buy above 220 Tgt


Continue Reading

Thursday, August 22

Can rupee touch 70 to a dollar ?

Deutsche Bank came with an extreme bullish target of 70, Here are some expert of the Report
The rupee recovered by 10 paise to 63.15 against the US dollar in early trade today after the RBI announced fresh measures to curb volatility and ease liquidity situation.
Forex dealers said besides dollar selling by exporters, the Reserve Bank yesterday announced a slew of measures to ease liquidity, including Rs 8,000 crore bond buyback, to ensure adequate credit flow to the productive sectors of the economy, which also supported the rupee.
They said, dollar’s weakness against..
Continue Reading

Words of wisdom from Jesse Livermore

No trader can or should play the market all the time. There will be many times when you should be out of the market, sitting in cash waiting patiently for the perfect trade…. ” – Jesse Livermore
“It is foolhardy to make a second trade, if your first trade shows you a loss…. As an ironclad Livermore rule, never average losses. Let that thought be written indelibly and forever upon your mind….” – Jesse Livermore
“Remember that it is dangerous to start spreading out all over the market carrying several positions. Do not have an interest in too many stocks at any one time. It is much easier to watch a few than many….” – Jesse Livermore
“As long as a stock is acting right, and the market is right ..

Continue Reading

Tuesday, August 20

Can rupee touch 65 to a dollar ?

The rupee crossed 63  to a dollar again as discussed in our USD INR Forecast. This should not be surprising given that the demand for dollars is much more than their supply.
So now question lies Can Rupee touch 65 in medium term. Let me answer the question for you talking on both Fundamental and Technical of INR.
The trade deficit for the month of April 2013 had stood at $17.8 billion. If we add this to the trade deficit of $20.1 billion for the month of May 2013, we get a trade deficit of nearly $38 billion for the first two months of the year.  With the way things currently are it is safe to say that the trade deficit for 2013-2014(or the period between April..

Nifty Crashes, How to trade Nifty and Bank Nifty?

  • FIIs sold 45104 contracts of Index Future (Entered fresh shorts in 55761 contracts and 10657 Longs) worth 1215 cores with net Open Interest increasing by 66418 contracts. So as per data analysis, FII's are still entering in fresh shorts  in NF and BNF. How to deal with Trading Loss
  • Nifty has been falling like 9 Pins, because of Rupee woes, I have discussed 07 July Can rupee touch 65 to a dollar ? of possibility of Rupee touching 65 and eventually Stock market and Indian Economy paying the price. Well the thought process seems to turn out to be reality as Rupee has breached 63 yesterday and is trading at life low, So this is the answer to many traders question why is Rupee falling and eventually Stock market.From Technical Prospective 

Sunday, August 18

Dalal Street becomes Halal Street, Weekly Forecast

Stock market on Friday the biggest drop in about two years on fears of capital controls being imposed by the Reserve Bank of India and indicators of slowing economic growth has fuelled concerns about a potential sovereign downgrade. We Won Best Stock Blog Award : The Indian Bloggers Award 2013 (IBA)
Last week we gave Trend Deciding level as 5592 Nifty  Nifty achieved 2 target on  on downside and 2 Target on upside :).
Recently we started course on Stock Positional calls and MCX trading and what a week we had, Students made more than 1 lakh in last week :), A message to students please do not get carried by there profits , as we need to work on consistency and protecting our profits. Do remmber the trading psychology session i gave :)

 Nifty Hourly Chart

nifty hourly
Continue Reading

Saturday, August 17

We Won Best Stock Blog Award : The Indian Bloggers Award 2013 (IBA)

When I started blogging 3 years back, it was started with only one aim for sharing my technical skills,helping retail traders in technical analysis and making them profitable in their trading.
Technical analysis and trading is/was/ will be my passion. It was my passion which i put into action and never thought that Bramesh’s Tech will be on the stage where it is today.With my trading i pushed myself hard and keeping in request of readers on site I started giving technical analysis training  during the course of time which benefited many traders .

Bramesh’s tech got featured in International magazine many times.
As someone rightly said The strength of your achievement is rooted in the depth of your passion.
Today I was proud to announce another feather in cap of our dear blog with you all .
Indibloger.in, which is one of the biggest community of Indian bloggers,
Continue Reading

Secrets of Highly Profitable Traders Part-1

Highly profitable traders are not born, they are made. They do not rely on pure luck to make consistent earnings but on their calculated moves when trading in stocks/Forex/commodities.
Today lets discuss the Qualities of Top trader.
1. Discipline
Without discipline, none of the other qualities matter. It is possible for any trader to invest some money in a  account, enter their very first trade and make a high profit and repeat the process and make profits for a short duration of time.The story of most of retail trader, but what differentiate professional from retail trade is:
However, it is only a disciplined trader who will be able to consistently make profits over a long period of time.A trader who lacks discipline will most likely wipe out his/her  trading account in a very short time period.
2. Perseverance..

Continue Reading

Thursday, August 15

When You Should Quit Trading

We have read the stories, heard the rags to riches stories, and even known real people close to us who just quit their lucrative day jobs to become a full time trader. Unfortunately, living the trading dream is not for everyone. Some people are simply not suitable for trading, probably due to their personal disposition, their attitude, their personal resources, and their scope of knowledge.
If you fall under any of those categories discussed below , you probably need to forget about making your fortune in trading , better protect your capital and save yourself from financial disaster.
Here are some of the reasons you should quit trading.

1. Lack of Trade Discipline


Continue Reading

Nifty holds 5700,Nifty technical chart

FII                                                                                Wishing all Readers a Happy Independence Day
  • FIIs sold 24177 contracts of Index Future (Entered fresh shorts in 24278 contracts and 101 Longs) worth 682 cores with net Open Interest increasing by 24379 contracts. So as per data analysis, FII's have entered fresh shorts in NF and BNF before Trading Holiday. How to deal with Trading Loss
Nifty consolidated yesterday big gains and closed the day firmly at

Continue Reading

Wednesday, August 14

How to deal with Trading Loss

Many traders i have trained during my training classes have confessed they were devastated by there single loss. A single loss was so deep that Market forced them out of the game.The point  i want to  traders to understand a loss should  never be so devastating to the end result that you are thrown out of market.
'It's not whether you get knocked down, it's whether you get up.'  Vince Lombardi 
In trading, we all have losses. We accept it as part of the game, as trading is not a game of perfect.  But another quote from Lombardi applies:  Perfection is not attainable, but if we chase perfection we can catch excellence.  This is what we want to achieve - EXCELLENCE!
Look, a loss can certainly..
Continue Reading

Trading Calls:SBI,PNB and LIC

SBI

SBISBI has formed a double bottom at 1575 and closed above an important Fibo number of 1597. Double bottom are very strong reversal pattern that to if stock has been declining from past 12 weeks. Any close above 1631 will give further boost to bulls for target of 1686 and 1741 in short term.

Buy above 1631 Tgt..



Continue Reading

Nifty and Bank Nifty F&O Data Analysis

FII
  • FIIs sold 10222 contracts of Index Future (Book profits in 6700 Contracts of shorts and 16922  longs ) worth 292 cores with net Open Interest decreasing by 23622 contracts. So as per data analysis, FII's have started booking profit in Long in NF and BNF entered on last 2 days.  Trading Funda : Think Less & Keep It Simple
Nifty opened gap down today, quickly recovered to fill the gap, and continued with its rise. Nifty made low of 5557 which was Chopad level as disucced in Weekly analysis  and gave the much anticipated rally.

Continue Reading

Tuesday, August 13

How to overcome Trading Fear

1. Trade With a Clear Mind
Do not make emotional decisions. Realize that emotions are emotions. What differentiates the successful traders from others is how we recalibrate our reactions to our emotions. Clear mind will never have Trading Fear
I was watching an interview with a surfer. The interviewer asked him what he does when a big surf comes and he goes underwater. The surfer said it was simple. “If I panic, I only have 3-5 seconds of air to breathe. If I stay calm, I have 45-60 seconds of air.
What does surfing have to do with trading? If you panic and operate from a place of fear, you could lose all of your capital. However, if you take a moment and think about your strategies, you can have much better results.
2. Look at Your Trading Positions Objectively

Continue Reading

Day trading stocks:Voltas,OFSS and Tata Steel

Tata Steel

Tata Steel
Tata Steel  has been falling like 9 pins from high of 448 to 195 in mater of 6 months. Steel stocks are showing sign of life after being beaten down heavily in 2013. Stock is poised for crucial breakout as per fibo fans as shown in below chart. Positional traders should look for close above 241 for target of 254 in short term. Any close below 233 will see a quick correction till 212.


Buy above 241 Tgt..


Continue Reading

Monday, August 12

Nifty Rallies and Bank Nifty falls from Chopad levels, FII FnO Analysis

FII
  • FIIs sold 3473 contracts of Index Future (Book profits in 47 Contracts of shorts and 3520  longs ) worth 101 cores with net Open Interest decreasing by 3567 contracts. So as per data analysis, FII's have started booking profit in Long in NF and BNF entered on last 2 days.  Trading Funda : Think Less & Keep It Simple
June IIP at -2.2% versus -1.6% in May which again shows contraction happening in Industrial production. Nifty opened gap up today, at 5606 than quickly came down to fill the gap, Nifty made low of 5557 which was Chopad level as disucced in Weekly analysis  and gave the much anticipated rally. Nifty has formed a ..

Continue Reading

Stock Trading Calls:SBI,JP Power and DLF

SBI

SBI

SBI is seeing a range contraction on daily charts and weekly charts have been falling from past 12 weeks. SBI is showing range contraction on weekly chart and explosive move is round the corner. Positional traders should go long above 1686 for Tgt of 1741,1830. Positional shorts should be entered below 1597 for short term target of 1542 and 1453

Buy above 1678 Tgt..


Continue Reading

Sunday, August 11

Nifty Weekly Technical Analysis for 13 Aug 2013

Last week we gave Trend Deciding level as 5686 Nifty  Nifty achieved all 3 target on  on downside :).

 Nifty Hourly Chart

nifty hourly
Nifty Hourly charts trading in perfect down trending channel,Break of channel comes above

Continue Reading

Saturday, August 10

FII FnO Data Analysis

FII
  • FIIs bought 14727 contracts of Index Future (Book profits in 4998 Contracts of shorts and 9729  longs were sold) worth 392 cores with net Open Interest increasing by 4731 contracts. So as per data analysis, FII are entering in Long in NF and BNF and booking profit shorts in NF and Bank NF. Chart Patterns for Technical Traders
Nifty  at last after continuous  fall of 11 day in a row, showed a bounce back.  Nifty took exact support at the demand area as discussed and showed up  bounceback from 5487-5477

Continue Reading

Chart Patterns for Technical Traders

In Continuation of last week post on Reversal Candlestick Pattern for traders In this article we will focus on few important chart patterns,which will help you in making better trading decisions.
Bearish Head and Shoulders Pattern
The head and shoulders is probably the most popular pattern used by technical traders. It is easy to spot and sends a very powerful trend-reversal signal. It is comprised of two shoulders and a head. The first shoulder is created by a rise in the security and a subsequent decline, forming a peak. At the base of the peak, price consolidates and rallies again, but his time rising above the former peak and again declines. At this point you can see the left shoulder and the head.
HnS
When price rises for a third time, it doesn’t quite ...


Continue Reading

Friday, August 9

Cost of Carry formula and interpretation

A future Contract is an agreement between two parties to BUY or SELL an underlying asset, including stocks, indices,commoditities or currency, at a certain time in the future at a certain price. Futures contracts are standardized and are traded on the exchange. To facilitate liquidity in futures contracts, the exchange defines certain standard specifications for  a particular contract, including a standard underlying instrument, a standard quantity and quality of that underlying asses ( to be delivered or cash settled), and a standard timing for such a settlement. If you have taken position in equity futures, whether long or short, you have to close the position by entering in an equal and opposite transaction anytime prior to expiry of the contract as there is no delivery of the underlying assets.
The Relationship between Futures Prices and Spot Prices can be summarized in terms of what is commonly known as the COST-OF-CARRY.
The cost of carry is the cost of "carrying" or holding a position. If long, the cost of carry is the cost of interest paid on a margin account. Conversely, if short, the cost of carry is the cost of paying dividends, or opportunity cost the cost of purchasing a particular security rather than an alternative.
Typically,in equity futures,

Continue Reading

Thursday, August 8

Trading Concepts from Jesse Livermore

There are those who would convince you that it is somehow smart or in your best interest to be manically switching your investments around, back and forth, long and short, on a daily basis. To pay attention to this kind of overstimulation is the height of madness, even for professional traders.
The most storied and important trader who ever lived, Jesse Livermore, would be tuning these daily buy and sell calls out were he alive and operating today. Because while he was a trader, he was not of the mindset that there was always some kind of action to be taking.
Jesse Livermore’s legacy is a bit of a double-edged sword…
On the one hand, he was the first to codify the ancient language of supply and demand that is every bit as relevant 100 years later as it was when he first relayed it to biographer Edwin Lefèvre. Livermore himself sums it up thusly: “I learned early that there is nothing new in Wall Street. There can’t be because speculation is as old as the hills. Whatever happens in the stock market today has happened before and will happen again. I’ve never forgotten that.”
On the other hand, Livermore’s undoing came at precisely the moments in which he ignored his own advice. After repeated admonitions about tipsters, for example, Jesse allowed a tip on cotton to lead to a massive loss which grew even larger as he sat on it – violating yet another of his own cardinal rules.
And of course,

Continue Reading

Stock Futures Intraday and Positional trades

IRB Infra

IRBIRB stock has seen a capitulation with a fall around 52 forming a panic double bottom pattern and than on course for slow and steady rise. Stock is entering its resistance zone as per fibo fans as shown in above daily chart.Positional trades can be taken on close above 72 for target of 76 and 81 in short term.

Buy above 70 Tgt..


Continue Reading

Wednesday, August 7

Nifty bounce back from 5487,FII FnO Analysis

FII

  • FIIs sold 2635 contracts of Index Future (Book profits in 7998 Contracts of shorts and 26654  longs were sold) worth 535 cores with net Open Interest decreasing by 34652 contracts. So as per data analysis, FII are still exiting longs and booking profit shorts in NF and Bank NF.FII's were doing more of intraday trading as average price comes at 8496 :) ,Reason for wild swings in nifty today.Tips from Worlds most Successful Trader
Nifty  continued to fall 11 day in a row,

Continue Reading

Tips from Worlds most Successful Trader

Paul Rotter is arguably the most successful individual futures trader executing trades on the Eurex exchange primarily in the Bund.
Every trader can aspire to imitate Paul's success as he is proof that it IS possible for a small trader to build on his success and grow into the biggest most active speculator around.

Q: What are your strengths as a world-class trader and what are the differences between you and other traders?
A: I have the ability to get more aggressive in winning phases, to take bigger risks, and to scale back during losing times. This is contrary to human nature. The best thing is to have somebody around who is neutral to trading, who switches the screens off when a certain level of loss has been reached for the day.
Q: Shouldn't a trader stick to his opinion?
A: No, definitely not. An analyst or some kind of guru has to stick to it, but a trader should have no opinion. The stronger your opinion, the harder it is to get out of a losing position.
Q: Do you do any kind of daily mental preparation?

Continue Reading

W.D.Gann's Rules for profitable trading

W.D.Gann's Rules:


No One Owes You Anything
You must succeed on your own. It is all up to you. The markets, stockbrokers, brokerage firms, news letters don’t owe you anything. Gann never took anyone’s newsletter. He did it all himself. The markets are there to provide you a service for buying and selling the markets you are trading. They really don’t care that you make money. The markets are there for the brokerage fees. The more you trade, the more money the brokerage firms and exchanges make. You must be knowledgeable of a reliable trading method that you can use to extract money from these markets. This method must be able to help you understand the price structure of the markets in regards to time and price movement.
Plan You’re Way to Profit
when you enter a trade you should have a figured a..



Continue Reading

All about new RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan

Raghuram Rajan is appointed as the Reserve Bank of India Governor for a three year term, successor to Dr. Subbarao whose term ends on September 4th. Mr. Rajan expected to balance out Central Bank and Government objectives amidst tricky fundamentals


Mr. Rajan recent statements and views:
. The RBI and Government are on the same page and working together to ensure stability and growth of the economy.
. On INR - Stabilising the battered rupee is a priority,
. On Growth - RBI's action in this regard must not hurt growth too much.- "The RBI has come up with measures to put stability in the exchange rate. With these measures I hope there should not be serious consequences to growth. We    must try to ensure that growth is not diminished,"
. On Monetary Policy - "The priority for monetary policy now is to restore        stability in the currency market so that macro-financial conditions remain      supportive of growth," even though it admitted that growth recovery is likely to be slower.
. On CAD - The


Continue Reading

Tuesday, August 6

Black Tuesday for Indian Markets

FII
  • FIIs sold 20879 contracts of Index Future (added 25342 Contracts of Longs and 43221 fresh shorts were added) worth 581 cores with net Open Interest decreasing by 71563 contracts. So as per data analysis, FII are still in shorts net to net basis.
It was black day for Indian markets as India markets out of trillion-dollar club market cap slips to $989 bn. Nifty broke 5550 and Sensex dipped below the psychological level of ..


Continue Reading

Technical Stock Trading:DLF,Bata India and Tata Power

DLF

DLFDLF stock is forming a falling wedge pattern on daily chart which is bullish sign, after falling like 9 pins DLF has formed an DOJI, which as per technical analysis is signalls pause in downtrend. Holding 124 from next 3 days stock can bounce back to 144 odd levels in short term.

Buy above 132 Tgt..


Continue Reading

Monday, August 5

Nifty holds 5686,FII's Options Data Analysis

FII
  • FIIs sold 13044 contracts of Index Future (Book profits in 5183 Contracts of shorts and 7861 fresh longs were sold) worth 357 cores with net Open Interest decreasing by 2678 contracts. So as per data analysis, FII are exiting longs and added shorts in NF and Bank NF. Was GOI responsible for crash in FT stock ?
Nifty  opened gap up  touched the downward falling trendline as seen in below chart and we saw a bout of volatility in todays trading session with Nifty swinging wildly in green and red. Nifty is trying to form..

Continue Reading

Was GOI responsible for crash in FT stock ?

15 years ago as middle aged traders on Dalal Street, we saw the emergence of stalwarts like Dr RH Patil and some techies like Jignesh Shah of Financial Technologies. People used to talk in whispers how the Rs 40 stock of FT would make billionaires many times over for Indian investors. The reason was simple, just like Microsoft, FT’s NISE was the only licensed stock trading platform permitted for use on the NSE terminals. The meteoric rise of the NSE and consequently NISE made Jignesh Shah one of the youngest billionaires in the country,

Good things do not last for too long in a country run by crooks. In some ways FT’s undoing was to promote a parallel commodities and equities exchange under the acronym MCX-jointly promoted by NABARD and a host of other GOI bodies.


Continue Reading

Will INR move till 65 ?

USD INR Daily

usdinrdaily
USD INR chart is forming a double top pattern and any close above 62 will invalidate the pattern. Also many brokerage are coming out with aggressive target of 65-70 on INR. Which also gives an indication of  going short in INR. As par Gann Fann INR is a top of fan suggesting short term correction on cards.

USD INR Weekly


Continue Reading

Reliance,Rel Cap and Infosys technical analysis

Reliance

RIL
Reliance is forming an descending triangle near its support zone of 842, Unable to hold the same stock can go down sub 800 levels.Pattern gets invalidated on close above 882.

Buy above 860 Tgt..


Continue Reading

Sunday, August 4

Nifty Weekly Analysis for week starting 5-9 Aug.

Last week we gave Trend Deciding level as 5898 Nifty  Nifty achieved all 3 target on  on downside :).The stock market remains closed on Friday, 9 August 2013, on account of Ramzan Id.

 Nifty Hourly Chart

nifty hourly
Nifty Hourly charts trading in perfect down trending channel,Break of channel comes above..


Continue Reading

Bank Nifty Technical Analysis

RBI maintained “Status Quo” in the RBI policy, Weekly Trend Deciding level of 10336 achieved the third target on downside   Cool 377 Points pocked by positional traders in matter 3 days as trade was over on Wednesday  :). Bank Nifty Technical are shaping out and are we seeing a relief rally chances? The stock market remains closed on Friday, 9 August 2013, on account of Ramzan Id.

Bank Nifty Hourly

Bank Nifty Hourly
Bank Nifty on hourly chart  is trading in a perfect down trending channel. Holding the low of..

Continue Reading

Saturday, August 3

Reversal Candlestick Pattern for traders

Lets discuss 2 Candlestick Pattern Engulfing and Kicker which will help you in understanding the reversal pattern.

Bearish engulfing pattern:
The bearish engulfing pattern consists of two candlesticks: the first is white and the second black. The size of the white candlestick is not that important, but should not be a doji, which would be relatively easy to engulf. The second should be a long black candlestick. The bigger it is, the more bearish the reversal. The black body must totally engulf the body of the first white candlestick. Ideally, the black body should engulf the shadows as well, but this is not a requirement. Shadows are permitted, but they are usually small or nonexistent on both candlesticks.
After an advance, the second black..

Continue Reading

Friday, August 2

Stocks for Intraday Traders:PFC,Siemens and M&M

Siemens

Siemens
Siemens stock on daily chart is unable to close above its downward falling trendline and also approaching the demand zone of 466. Any close below 466 gives target of 432 in short term.

Buy above 491 Tgt..


Continue Reading

Thursday, August 1

Nifty forms double bottom, relief rally on cards?

FII
  • FIIs bought  708 contracts of Index Future (Book profits in 2421 Contracts of shorts and 1713 fresh longs were sold) worth 37 cores with net Open Interest decreasing by 4134 contracts. So as per data analysis, FII are exiting longs and booking profits in shorts. Golden Rules for Traders trading based on Chart/ Chart Pattern
Nifty  opened gap up after Fed indicated no tapering in near future, but the sentiment were soiled by FT defaulting on payment of NSEL . Read more about Crash in FT.  Nifty continued

Continue Reading

Trading Tips to be profitable

  • Most of the time, you want to own the stock before it breaks out, then sell it to the momentum players after it breaks out. If you buy breakouts, realize that professional traders are handing off their positions to you in order to test the strength of the trend. They will typically buy it back below the breakout point—which is typically where you will set your stop when you buy a breakout. Greed comes into play when the stock breaks out again, and the momentum players are forced to chase it and “pay up” for the stock. Be aware of how trends are established and use that to your advantage to enter and exit positions.
  • Embracing your opinion leads to
Continue Reading

Financial Technologies crashes

Shares in Financial Technologies (FT) plunged over 50 per cent, while Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) shares fell as much as 20 per cent on Thursday. FT is the parent company of MCX. Both these stocks traded at an all-time low. (Track stocks)
The sharp fall in Financial Tech and MCX followed the National Spot Exchange's (NSEL) decision to suspend trading in its one-day forward contracts till further notice. NSEL is an unlisted FT subsidiary dealing with spot contracts in commodities.
"This abrupt action has created uncertainty and doubt about continuity of trading on the Exchange and hence most of the participants started withdrawing from the market," NSEL said in a statement.
The government had earlier asked the spot exchange not to launch new contracts, creating uncertainty among traders, the NSEL said. The exchange also decided to merge the delivery and settlement of all pending contracts and deferred it for a period of 15 days.
Speaking to NDTV Anjani Sinha of the National Spot Exchange..

Continue Reading

Technical Calls:Canara Bank,BoB,Idea and Union Bank

Canara Bank

Canara Bank

Canara Bank is taking support at its Fibo Support of 246, Holding the same bounceback can be expected till 322 in short term.

Buy above 278 Tgt..



Continue Reading