Sunday, May 31

Bank Nifty Weekly Analysis before Crucial RBI Policy on 2 June

Last week we gave the Chopad level of 18426  Bank Nifty achieved 2 target on upside  and 1 target on downside rewarding discipline chopad followers .Lets analyze how to trade next week as RBI policy in 2 June.

Bank Nifty Hourly

Bank Nifty Hourly
Bank Nifty broke its trendline and also closed above its 21/34 EMA, suggesting break of 18750 can see move towards 18900/19038  is on cards. Bearish  below..


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Nifty Weekly Analysis before Crucial RBI Policy on 2 June

Last week we gave Chopad Levels  of 8499 ,Nifty opened gap down @ 8443 and did  3 target on upside  rewarded Chopad followers .   Lets analyze how to trade market in crucial RBI Policy week.

Nifty Hourly Chart

nifty hourly
Nifty Hourly charts has broken on upside and above its 21/34 EMA, till 8380  is not broken hourly  trend remains on upside.Resistance at upper side comes @8500

Nifty Hourly Elliot Wave Chart

Nifty Hourly EW
Hourly charts if rising in abc pattern 8528  should be logical target.

Nifty Pyrapoint Analysis


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Saturday, May 30

Traders Motivation: YOU can If you think YOU CAN

Traders Motivation: YOU can If you think YOU CAN

Video Link

Understanding ON BALANCE VOLUME indicator

Overview

On balance volume (OBV) is a momentum indicator, the calculation of which relates volume to price change. OBV was developed by Joe Granville. .OBV provides a running total of volume and shows whether this volume is flowing in or out of a given security. OBV attempts to detect when a financial instrument (stock, bond, etc.) is being accumulated by a large number of buyers or sold by many sellers. Volume is the driving force behind the market, so OBV is designed to project when major moves in the markets would occur and measures the positive and negative volume flow. OBV helps in projecting when major moves in the markets would occur

Calculation

On Balance Volume is calculated by adding the day's volume to a cumulative total when the security's price closes up, and subtracting the day's volume when the security's price closes down.
  • If today's close is greater than yesterday's close then:
OBV = Yesterday’s OBV+ Today’s Volume (considered up volume)
Up volume occurs when a stock finishes a day of trading at a level higher than its open, meaning that the trading volume for the day was more bullish than bearish.


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Nifty rallies on hope of rate cut,FII FnO Data Analysis

FII
  • FII's bought 177 K contract of Index Future worth 3823 cores ,121 K Long contract were added by FII's and 55 K  short contracts  were squared by FII's. Net Open Interest increased  by 66 K contract. Highest number of Longs added by FII's in 2015 in single day also before RBI policy on 2 June. Is it possible for an amateur trader to make sustainable profits ?
Nifty reacted from the zone of support as shown in below chart, took support near  20 SMA, and reacted sharply on last trading day of the month and is now entering the crucial resistance zone before the RBI policy on 02 June.  AS per Gunner also we are near red arc suggesting testing time ahead. Monday can be a rangebound day


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Friday, May 29

Is it possible for an amateur trader to make sustainable profits ?

Every traders wants to trade Big with a well funded trading capital of at least 10 lakh but very few are able to achieve this feat. Its often said Making the First Million is the most difficult thing once achieved money will flow in your coffers.

Trading small account is very difficult when compared to account having large trading capital, As such when your trading capital is large traders are buffered against mistakes, unexpected losing streaks, and sometimes even bad traders, but small accounts have no such buffer. When trading with large account trader can test n number of trading strategies in live market but small account we have no such luxury.
In Reality 80% of traders trade with small account from 30K-70K which is just enuf to cover margin of the derivatives traders is trading into. Trading with small trading capital requires "Very Very Strict risk management and money management " , not having it will lead to Trading account blowout and will throw traders out of market.  Trading with small capital, trader has no buffer for unexpected moves in market . Recent crash in Nifty and Mid and Small cap stocks  had blown out many small trading accounts.

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IRB,CIPLA and Rel Capital Gann Analysis

IRB

IRB

Any close below 246 short term target 238/233. Bullish above 254 for target of 267.
Intraday Traders can use the below mentioned levels

Buy above 248 Tgt..


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Nifty Outlook for June Series

FII
  • Nifty reacted from the zone of support as shown in below chart, took support near  20 SMA for 2 day in row. Nifty has also been holding Murry Math Line as shown in the 2 chart suggesting buying coming at lower level. The May expiry nifty move only 137 points from expiry close to expiry close suggesting June month we can see good trending move. Last 2 expiry has been good for Option Writers, JUne can be a good month for option Buyers. As per time analysis after 14 June Bulls can have upper hand over bear We are seeing sideways correction with strong base at 8000 levels. Move above 8364 can see nifty moving towards 8420 odd levels. Move below 8270 can see 8180 odd levels. Below 8320 Fibo Retracement are at  8262/8197 levels.Disposition Effect: Why Retail traders Lose in Stock Market
nifty hourly


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Thursday, May 28

Disposition Effect: Why Retail traders Lose in Stock Market

Disposition Effect: It's a tendency to close a profitable position early and hold on to a losing position longer, hoping that prices recover.
Researchers working at the Centre For Analytical Finance at Indian School of Business, after examining terabytes of data pertaining to trading behavior of retail and institutional traders, found that trading done by behaviorally biased and short-term oriented retail traders leads to wealth transfer from individuals to institutions.
Retail investors are mostly dubbed as "noise traders", who adversely impact the price efficiency of the market. Some have argued that such excessive short-term trading scuttles the functioning of arbitrage mechanism by increasing the deviation between actual price and the expected price. However, others have argued that presence of retail investors provides liquidity to the market and hence, is useful. The recent spurt in behaviour finance research has led to a careful examination of consequences of short-term


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Nifty May 2015 Series F&O Expiry Analysis

  • FII's sold 7.1 K contract of Index Future worth 96 cores,29.6 K Long contract were added by FII's and 36.7 K  short contracts  were added by FII's. Net Open Interest increased  by 66.4 K contract. Things You Should do Before Trading for A Living
Nifty reacted from the zone of support as shown in below chart, took support near  20 SMA, AS today is expiry day any break of 8277  we can see deeper cut in market.Move above 8342 can see nifty moving towards 8383/8400 odd levels. Below 8320 Fibo


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TVS Motor,Crompton and Adani MML Analysis

Crompton

Crompton Greaves

Intraday Traders can use the below mentioned levels

Buy above 169.6 Tgt


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Wednesday, May 27

Are you trading on Luck or trading Skills ?

Some describe trading as purely based on "LUCK" , "Tukka marna" as we call it in Hindi, but from my perceptive trading is all about "Skills" . Skills take time to develop. Take an Example of Engineer, To get an Engineering degree a student has to study for 6 years ( 2 Years for entrance preparation and 4 Years as formal engineering degree). Doctor has to study much more. So Skills take some time to develop.
But when it come to trading, Traders want to earn money instantly. "Get Rich Quickly", As per my experience Stock market is best place to loose money instantly but most difficult place to make money. So let me discussion difference between Luck and Skills. Luck favors the brave and Skill favors the knowledgeable

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Adani Power,Rel Cap and IDFC Supply and Demand Analysis

Adani Power

ADANIPOWER

Intraday Traders can use the below mentioned levels

Buy above 40.3 Tgt..


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Nifty enters in Support zone, Will Bulls come back ?

FII
  • FII's bought 7.4 K contract of Index Future worth 215 cores,39.4 K Long contract were added by FII's and 32 K  short contracts  were added by FII's. Net Open Interest increased  by 71 K contract. Things You Should do Before Trading for A Living
Nifty reacted from the zone of resistance as shown in below chart, heading towards 20 SMA and Prices are heading towards the support zone of 8295-8356. Break below the same we can see deeper cut in market. As per Fibo Fans prices are again below 38.2 % retracement and unable to cross today's high we can see expiry


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Tuesday, May 26

Things You Should do Before Trading for A Living

Everyone wants to know how much money they can earn if they learn to trade. Can they fulfill their financial goals and make trading for a living.Trading as a Business offer flexibility in schedule, working from any part of world, there would be no hassles with customers or employees and low overhead expenses ie. a Laptop with charting software having live feeds.
Most of traders  want to know  whether or not it was possible for them to achieve their financial and personal goal through trading. I have been asked the same type of question many times and this question is always on the mind of many new and starting traders.
The question broadly stated is: Can we trade for a Living ?
The truth is that no one can predict or answer this question accurately or correctly for any new trader. Unfortunately, many misleading book titles, software vendors and unscrupulous trading educators market their services and products creating unrealistic expectations and making false claims.

No Guarantees in Trading

Let me get the fact straight “there are no guarantees when it comes to trading!” In my years of experience as an trade and educator, I have found that it is actually much better to understate expectations to yourself rather than to inflate them. Never think of making 100% return in short time, rather understate the



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Cairn,Bank India and Tata Motors Harmonic Pattern Analysis

Cairn

cairn

Intraday Traders can use the below mentioned levels

Buy above 196 Tgt..


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Monday, May 25

Bulls unable to hold 50 SMA,break of 200 DMA on cards ?

FII
  • FII's bought 2.1 K contract of Index Future worth 167 cores,0.8  K Long contract were added by FII's and 1.2 K  short contracts  were squared off  by FII's. Net Open Interest decreased  by 0.03 K contract. As US market is having holiday,participation of FII was less in todays market. The Counter-intuitive Way To Control Your Emotions In Trading
Nifty reacted from the zone of resistance as shown in below chart, price has also got rejected from its 50 SMA. Prices are heading towards the support zone of 8295-8356. Break below the same we can see deeper cut in market. As per Fibo Fans prices are again below 38.2 % retracement and unable to cross today's high

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The Counter-intuitive Way To Control Your Emotions In Trading

I don’t know any trader who doesn’t struggle at times with their emotions. Likewise, I don’t know any trader who doesn’t wish that they could control their emotions better. Here’s an excerpt from an email I just received from a trader named Srinivasa:
I have a problem with hesitation. Even though I have a strategy that fits my personality and is consistently profitable, I still hesitate on 2 out of 5 trades. And for some strange reason I always hesitate when the profit would have been the best. My whole body senses that I need to take the trade, but it’s almost like I have another person in my mind who controls me and holds me off from following my intuition.
I’m sure we can all relate to this. I know I can. Sometimes it feels like our emotions literally take over and we are hostage to them. Almost like it’s another person in our mind, as Srinivasa notes. So the natural question becomes: how do you control your emotions while trading?
And the counter-intuitive answer is:


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Sunday, May 24

FII FnO Data Analysis for 25 May

FII
  • FII's bought 26.9 K contract of Index Future worth 327 cores,55 K Long contract were added by FII's and 28.1 K  short contracts  were added by FII's. Net Open Interest increased  by 83 K contract . The Highest-Earning Hedge Fund Managers & Traders
  • Nifty continued with its rally,8525/8528 should be watched in coming week. Break of 8380 can see nifty falling down towards 8270 odd levels.
Nifty Gunner
Nifty May


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Bank Nifty Weekly Analysis for May F&O Expiry Week

Last week we gave the Chopad level of 18300  Bank Nifty achieved 3 target on upside  rewarding discipline chopad followers .Lets analyze how to trade next week.

Bank Nifty Hourly

Bank Nifty Hourly
Bank Nifty broke its trendline and also closed below 21/34 EMA, suggesting fall till 18150/18100 is on cards. Bullish above 18550 only.

Bank Nifty Hourly  EW Daily

Bank Nifty Hourly EW

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Nifty Weekly Analysis for May F&O Expiry Week

Last week we gave Chopad Levels  of 8286 , Nifty did  3 target on upside  rewarded Chopad followers .   Lets analyze how to trade market in May F&O Expiry week.

Nifty Hourly Chart

nifty hourly
Nifty Hourly charts has broken on upside and above its 21/34 EMA, till 8424  is not broken hourly  trend remains on upside.Resistance at upper side comes @8500

Nifty Hourly Elliot Wave Chart

Nifty Hourly EW
Hourly charts if rising in abc pattern..
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Saturday, May 23

Why Knowing The Direction Is Important

Trading with the trend is trading with the flow. When the prevailing trend is up, why would you want to look for short entries when buying might result in much smoother trades? Many amateur traders, even when facing a long lasting trend that has been going on for months, can’t stop looking for signs that the trend is over, whereas they could have made so much money by simply joining the trend.
Even more important, trading with the trend is independent from your overall trading strategy. Identifying the overall market direction and only trading in that direction can serve as a first filter for your trading strategy.

What Are You Looking For?

Before we start going over how to identify the trend, we should be clear about what we are looking for. Markets can do one of three things: go up, go down, or move sideways.

The picture above shows you the three possible scenarios, but knowing what has happened after the fact is always the easy part. The hard part is finding out what is currently happening when markets are moving in real time and the space on the right is empty – that’s where this article comes in. In what follows we show you 5 ways how you can identify the prevailing trend and the direction. To be clear, the article is not meant to show you how to identify trading entries, but to understand price and trends in a more efficient way.

1. The Simple Way: Line Graph


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Friday, May 22

The Highest-Earning Hedge Fund Managers & Traders

Do traders make money is frequently asked question in my trading seminar?
I was very happy to discover that the Forbes Rich List was scattered with investors and hedge fund managers who have profited handsomely despite giving fundamentals a back seat.  Here are my favourites from the list:

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Chinese Stock Bubble: 2 Chinese Billionaires Half of Net Worth Wiped Out In Seconds

Li Hejun began the day as either China’s second-richest man according to Forbes, or richest, according to the Hurun Report (China's version of the Forbes rich list) and Le Figaro, with a fortune worth more than $30 billion. By 11am, his net worth was amazingly cut by half, and he was almost $14 billion "poorer" as shares in Li’s flagship Hanergy Thin Film plunged by 47% in Hong Kong before trading was suspended - due to Li's absence at the company's annual meeting.
While four months of supercharged stock gains were eviscerated in minutes, it was not a surprise to everyone, as one analysts called Hanergy "a disaster waiting to happen," noting that the company is working with “unproven” technology and has disclosed few details about the work that underpins its valuation.
It was all going so well, and then...


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SBI,Amtek Auto and HDIL MML Forecast

SBIN

SBIN

288 is trend change level close below it stock is heading to 275/267. Holding above it 310/322 short term target.
Intraday Traders can use the below mentioned levels

Buy above 291.5 Tgt..


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Thursday, May 21

Nifty ready for momentum move,FII FnO Data Analysis

FII
  • FII's sold 21.9 K contract of Index Future worth 312 cores,6.9 K Long contract were added by  FII's and 15  K  short contracts  were added by FII's. Net Open Interest increased  by 8 K contract so today's consolidation was used by FII's to add majority shorts in Index Future. How Traders can Optimize Trading Mindset Part-II
  • Nifty continue with its range contraction which is healthy for market  as we have 2 weeks of wild moves, range contraction also suggests breakout/breakdown of large magnitude is on cards in near future, which side we will cover in analysis going forwards. Gunner is still positive quadrant till holding above 1*1 gann line for bulls to get in momentum As we have been discussing the whole important  pyrapoint number of 8427 , Nifty still has not been able to close above it.  Range contraction in hourly charts with band of support and resistances are shown in below chart. Tomorrow is all important gann date so trade cautiously.
nifty hourly

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How Traders can Optimize Trading Mindset Part-II

In Continuation of Part -I

Build

You should have back tested and trusted trading system, rather than plucking one from the internet. I know it's very tempting to simply copy the trading system of some (supposedly) successful trader, and it might very well be a very profitable strategy but the fact that it works for them, doesn't mean it will work for you.
The best thing to do is to take note of those strategies and let other traders tell you what works for them, to see which parts really resonate with you. Borrow bits and pieces from other people's trading strategies, but only to mold them into a strategy that is customized to your trading personality, financial circumstances and time schedule.
If you are a hobby trader and just want to stay in the market without losing too much, you don't have to spend years building your system, but if you are committed, if you are serious, if you want to achieve financial freedom, than it might take you years before you have build and fine-tuned a successful trading system of your own.
Do you think that's a little long? How about if you were starting a business and someone told you it might take you three to four years before it'd


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Adani Port,Arvind and Bharat Forge Price Channel Analysis

 Adani Port

Adani Port

Intraday Traders can use the below mentioned levels

Buy above 343 Tgt..


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Wednesday, May 20

Nifty forms NR21 pattern, FII FnO Data Analysis

FII
  • FII's bought 37.2 K contract of Index Future worth 853 cores,40.2 K Long contract were added by  FII's and 3  K  short contracts  were added by FII's. Net Open Interest increased  by 43.2 K contract so today's rise was used by FII's to add majority longs   in Index Future. How Traders can Optimize Trading Mindset Part-I
Nifty has formed Narrowest Range in past 1 trading session also known as NR 21 pattern , which suggests breakout/breakdown of large magnitude is on cards in near future, which side we will


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How Traders can Optimize Trading Mindset Part-I

How to become a profitable trader has far more to do with mindset than with a specific trading strategy. In fact, no  trading strategy can be profitable if a trader has the wrong mindset.
Today we will discuss How traders can optimize their  trading mindset

Trading Goals

This really is the kind of principle that should play a role in every major endeavor you undertake. When you set out on a new path, it helps to set clear, definable goals to guide you. If you set no goals at all, or vague goals, you don't have anything to benchmark against. Clear goals help you stay the course on the road to success. Make Realistic Goals not unrealistic goals like doubling trading capital in a month. Read more on Setting Trading Goals

Realism

This second principle goes hand in hand with the first. Many beginning traders do set goals, only they're not very realistic. Setting the goal of making 10,00,000 annual profit with a trading capital of 1,00,000 is very enthusiastic, ambitious and optimistic - all very likable qualities - but these goals are  mission impossibles. And since failing to reach a goal is very demotivating, there's really no reason to set goals that are ridiculously hard to achieve.
To make sure you set realistic trading goals, you should answer the following questions for yourself:
How much money can you trade ? Your financial goal is partially based on the amount you have available for trading.
How much time can you devote

Bank India,Coal India and IB Real Gunner Forecast

Bank India

Bank India

 

Intraday Traders can use the below mentioned levels

Buy above 207.5 Tgt..


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Tuesday, May 19

Nifty achieves triangle breakout target, How to trade next move ?

FII
  • FII's bought 26.9 K contract of Index Future worth 647 cores,20.9 K Long contract were added by  FII's and 5.9  K  short contracts  were squared off by FII's. Net Open Interest decreased  by 26.9 K contract so today's intraday fall was used by FII's to squared off  shorts  and add longs   in Index Future. Why 90% Traders fail in Trading ?
As discussed in last analysis Triangle pattern in hourly pattern as shown in below chart, has broken on upside, we need to see follow up move on Monday. Gunner is also entering new quadrant and pyrapoint analysis suggests Nifty is ready for an explosive move. Nifty meet the triangle target today of 8427...
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Why 90% Traders fail in Trading ?

Its all about training your mind, See the video below and try to connect with your trading.

Watch the Video

Kotak Bank,DLF and Voltas Harmonic pattern analysis

Kotak Bank

Kotak Bank

Any close above 1365 short term target 1425/1453.
Intraday Traders can use the below mentioned levels

Buy above 1367 Tgt...


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Nifty shows range expansion,FII FnO Data Analysis

FII
  • FII's bought 5.6 K contract of Index Future worth 228 cores,1.2 K Long contract were squared off by  FII's and 6.9  K  short contracts  were squared off by FII's. Net Open Interest decreased  by 8.2 K contract so today's rise was used by FII's to squared off both longs and   shorts  in Index Future. Are you a Loss making trader ?
As discussed in last analysis Triangle pattern in hourly pattern as shown in below chart, has broken on upside, we need to see follow up move on Monday. Gunner is also entering new quadrant and pyrapoint analysis suggests Nifty is ready for an explosive move. Nifty obliged by showing an


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Monday, May 18

Are you a Loss making trader ?

Trading is a profession where even if you are having 10 years of experience but still you might be losing money. So what are the qualities of loss making traders, If you are having any of them, Beware !! Get your act together and get rid of these bad habits.

  • Loss Making Trader do not understand what all the fuss is about risk management and trader psychology they do not need all that they are special.
  • Loss Making Trader believe there is some magic trading method that always wins, they search for the Holy Grail of trading.
  • Loss Making Trader do not understand that the very best traders have strings of losses , losing months, and sometimes even losing years. They think rich traders always win.
Loss Making Trader want t


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PFC,HDFC and Federal Bank Supply and Demand Zone Analysis

PFC

PFC

Holding 267 stock is heading to 280/288. Any close below 267 short term target 254.
Intraday Traders can use the below mentioned levels

Buy above 271 Tgt..


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Sunday, May 17

Nifty forms 2 Weekly Doji, ready for explosive move Weekly Forecast

Last week we gave Chopad Levels  of 8221 , Nifty did 1  target on downside  and 1 target on upside  rewarded Chopad followers on both sides.   Lets analyze how to trade market in coming week.

Nifty Hourly Chart

nifty hourly
Nifty Hourly charts has broken on upside and above its 21/34 EMA, till 8200  is not broken hourly  trend remains on upside.Triangle breakout target comes @8427.

Nifty Hourly Elliot Wave Chart

Nifty Hourly EW
Hourly charts if not rising in abc pattern 8427 should be logical target. 8333 should be broken and sustained for this move to come.

Nifty Pyrapoint Analysis


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Bank Nifty ready for range expansion, Weekly Analysis

Last week we gave the Chopad level of 17906  Bank Nifty achieved 1 target on downside and 1 target on upside  rewarding discipline chopad followers .Lets analyze how to trade next week.

Bank Nifty Hourly

Bank Nifty Hourly
Bank Nifty entered in demand zone and saw a strong bounceback. Till Holding below  21/34 EMA @bears  have upper hand.Any close above 18300 will give a breakout and see bank nifty moving towards 18500/18600 levels/

Bank Nifty Hourly  EW Daily

Bank Nifty Hourly EW
Hourly Elliot wave analysis is shown, 18260 will play crucial levels next week.

Bank Nifty Pyrapoint Indicator

BANKNIFTY - Pyrapoint
Traded well in the range of Pyrapoint Analysis Support @
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Saturday, May 16

Nifty breaks triangle follow up move awaited, FII Data Analysis

FII
  • FII's sold 4.6 K contract of Index Future worth 131 cores,6.2 K Long contract were added by  FII's and 10.8 K  short contracts  were added  by FII's. Net Open Interest increased  by 17.1 K contract so today's rise was used by FII's to add   shorts and partial longs   in Index Future. How To Identify Market Tops and Bottom
  • Nifty from past 6 session has become very very volatile, Again matter of mins fell down 80 points recovered sharply and again closed near the highest point of day forming hammer pattern.Triangle pattern in hourly pattern as shown in below chart, has broken on upside, we need to see follow up move on Monday. Gunner is also entering new quadrant and pyrapoint analysis suggests Nifty is ready for an explosive move.
nifty hourly


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How To Identify Market Tops and Bottom

There are certain characteristics of the markets that take place almost all the time, when the indexes are about to approach an intermediate or long-term top or long term bottom.  In order of importance, this is what you have to look at to identify market tops.
  1. Time
  2. Sentiment or Investors Expectations
  3. Market Breadth
  4. Price  patterns

Time Profiles: Major tops/bottom  are made after the markets have been going up/down for an extended  long period of Time. Indian Market follow the 8 year cycle , Major Tops are formed after 8 year, 1992,2000,2008 have been the major tops in Indian market. Next 2016 is on the line, so investors should be cautious in 2016 going by historical data.  But time alone will not give you the sufficient information you

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Friday, May 15

Trader’s journey from losing trader to winning Trader

  • We accumulate information. We learn by buying books, asking questions,  going to seminars and researching what really works in trading.
  • We begin to trade with our new-found knowledge.
  • We make profits only to give it back very quickly, realizing that we may need more knowledge or information.
  • We accumulate more information.
  • We switch the stocks we are currently following and trading.
  • We go back into the market and trade with our better system; this time it will work.
  • We lose even more money and begin to lose of confidence that we can be traders. The reality of losing money sets in.
We start to listen to

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Crompton,CESC and Reliance Capital Darvas Box Analysis

Crompton Greaves

Crompton Greaves

178 is trend changer level. Closing above it target 188/199. Unable to close above it 165 is short term target.
Intraday Traders can use the below mentioned levels

Buy above 175 Tgt...


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Thursday, May 14

Nifty forms triangle, ready for big move, FII Data Analysis

FII
  • FII's sold 78 K contract of Index Future worth 1662 cores,19.7 K Long contract were squared off by  FII's and 58.3 K  short contracts  were added  by FII's. Net Open Interest increased  by 38.6 K contract so today's rise was used by FII's to add   shorts   in Index Future. When to avoid trading
Nifty from past 5 session has become very very volatile, In first 5 mins market was down 100 points recovered sharply and again closed near the highest point of day forming hammer pattern. Nifty formed inside day pattern on daily chart and also is forming triangle pattern in hourly pattern as shown in below chart,


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When to avoid trading

Traders who trade financial markets should also know when to stay out or not to trade. Trader should trade when opportunity arises based on his trading system and trading strategy. Knowing when not to trade is also a vital part of trading plan .Wait for opportunity to come think of Sachin he does not hit 4 on every ball but when he sees an opportunity he goes ahead.


  • When you are confused and don’t know what to do, do nothing.
  • There are no set ups on your watch list, then don’t trade.
  • You are a trend trader and there is no trend to trade.
The market is

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Bank India,Bharat Forge and Adani Price Channel Analysis

Bank India

Bank India

Any close above 212 short term target 220/225.
Intraday Traders can use the below mentioned levels

Buy above 204 Tgt...


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Wednesday, May 13

Nifty gets IPL effect, hits 4th century, How to trade next move

FII
  • FII's sold 26.3 K contract of Index Future worth 649 cores,2 K Long contract were added off by  FII's and 28.3 K  short contracts  were added  by FII's. Net Open Interest increased  by30.4 K contract so today's rise was used by FII's to add   shorts   in Index Future. Can money be made in trading ?
This is what we discussed yesterday analysis 225 degree pyrapoint line @8103 if broken can see move towards 8052/8007.Nifty made low of 8089 and bounced back sharply.Gann Line as shown in below gunner chart @8332 is the laxman rekha from bulls and bears , close above it bulls rule and close below it bears will make marry. Such volatility we are seeing is generally formed near short term bottom and a trending

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Can money be made in trading ?

Its been a roller coaster rise from past few trading session and many traders asked me "Can money be made in trading ?" Let me try to answer the same.
Trading is always a high return high risk game and it needs nimble trading approach with tons of discipline.
Traders say its  the Big traders who move the market and we end up making loss.
Well i do not buy this reasoning. The most Important part in trading is trading discipline and trading system(Throughly Backtested)
Some general reason why traders loose money

Mistake # 1: Jumping in with Both Feet


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Adani,Bank Baroda and HDIL Gunner forecast for swing trades

Adani E

Adani

665 is trend changer level for Adani, Closing below it stock us heading to 644/631/623.
Intraday Traders can use the below mentioned levels

Buy above 676 Tgt



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Tuesday, May 12

Bears hit double century,FII FnO Data Analysis

FII
  • FII's bought 5.1 K contract of Index Future worth 178 cores,1.3 K Long contract were squared off by  FII's and 6.4 K  short contracts  were squared off by FII's. Net Open Interest decreased  by 7.8 K contract so today's fall was used by FII's to square off both longs and   shorts   in Index Future .Reason for excessive Volatility in Stock Markets
This is what we discussed yesterday analysis Nifty is near 38.2% retracement @8320 and 8332 where the big fall occurred 3 days before. Trend is up till the lower low is not formed. Nifty is at crucial juncture as per gunner pattern so expect more volatility going forward. Volatility 


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Reason for excessive Volatility in Stock Markets

The BSE Sensex plunged over 629 points and Nifty declined 198 points after 335 point rally in past 2 session, Increasing the volatility.

  • Crucial bills such as Goods and Service Tax Amendment bill and the Land Acquisition Bill, which were supposed to be passed in the ongoing session of Parliament, got stuck in the Rajya Sabha. As both these Bills have been refereed to select Committee, in Monsoon Session only can we see passage of these bills.

The rupee, which has been most stable currency  again slipped back to a low of 64.2, taking it closer to its yearly low of 64.28  hence raising worries that foreign portfolio outflows may create a vicious cycle between rupee and stock market.As it happened in August



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Apple Could Make Money by Bailing Out Greece

That Apple should buy Greece with all the useless cash it has on hand is just a joke that won't go away. Yet it's true that, if big American corporations and European politicians had any imagination, they could probably engineer a bailout for the nearly bankrupt country on terms that would benefit everyone.
Back in 2012, an investor attending Apple's general meeting asked Tim Cook, the chief executive officer, if he'd ever considered using the company's growing cash stash -- $97.6 billion at that point -- to acquire Greece. "We've looked into many things," but not that, Cook replied. Of course, entire countries can't be bought -- not even in novels, it seems. In Iain Banks's "The Business," such a deal fell through, even though the acquisition target was an obscure Himalayan monarchy, not an old democracy like Greece.
So everyone had a laugh and moved on. Things briefly got better for Greece when it received the biggest bailout in history, and private creditors agreed to a haircut. But its economy still failed to grow, and the country's debt burden, at 175 percent of economic output, remained unsustainable. Apple, in the meantime, more than doubled its hoard, which now amounts $194 billion in cash and equivalents. The company has been paying


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Auro,Tata Steel and PFC Supply Demand Analysis

Auro Pharma

Auro Pharma

Any close above 1364 stock is heading to 1430/1453.
Intraday Traders can use the below mentioned levels

Buy above 1364 Tgt..


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Monday, May 11

Nifty hits 2 back to back century,FII FnO Data Analysis

FII
  • FII's bought 13.9 K contract of Index Future worth 292 cores,8 K Long contract were added  by  FII's and 5.8 K  short contracts  were squared off by FII's. Net Open Interest increased  by 13.9 K contract so today's rise was used by FII's to square off  shorts and added few longs  in Index Future .How to Unlock your Trading Success
Nifty has rallied 320 points from the lows in matter of 2 trading session most of it coming on back of gap up opening. As discussed in Weekly Analysis Gann date showed its effect. Nifty is near


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How to Unlock your Trading Success

 If you want to be a consistent profitable trader  in the long run there are THREE elements of trading that you must have in place.These THREE elements which we will discuss are like 3 chairs of stool if you do not follow anyone of them you are bound to fail.
  • A Robust Backtestested and Trusted trading System
You must trade a WINNING trading method: Your trading system must be valid and profitable through past markets. The best way to win in the markets is to have a method that identifies potential trends and gives you entries and exits that put the probabilities on your side for winning trades. Many times these systems will have huge winners that pay for all the small losses and make you profitable. Find your edge and learn how to make it a profitable one. If you have no edge and no winning
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Bata India.BHEL and Cairn MML Analysis

Bata India

Bata India

Any close above 1076 short term target 1131.
Intraday Traders can use the below mentioned levels

Buy above 1050 Tgt..


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Sunday, May 10

Bank Nifty Weekly Analysis for 11-15 May

Last week we gave the Chopad level of 18296  Bank Nifty achieved 3 target on downside  rewarding discipline chopad followers .Lets analyze how to trade next week.

Bank Nifty Hourly

Bank Nifty Hourly
Bank Nifty entered in demand zone and saw a strong bounceback. Till Holding below  21/34 EMA @bears  have upper hand.

Bank Nifty Hourly  EW Daily

Bank Nifty Hourly EW

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Nifty forms Weekly Doji, Is Bottom in place Weekly Forecast

Last week we gave Chopad Levels  of 8221 , Nifty did 2  target on downside  and 2 target on upside  rewarded Chopad followers on both sides.  Few readers have raised a flag stating i give both side views, hope last week move have answered their question why we need to be prepared with both side of market moves  as trading is all about probability and as a trader you need to be prepared for any move. Lets analyze how to trade market in coming week.

Nifty Hourly Chart

nifty hourly
Nifty Hourly charts has broken on upside and above its 21/34 EMA, till 8164  is not broken hourly  trend remains on upside. Trend line resistance comes @8375.

Nifty Hourly Elliot Wave Chart

Nifty Hourly EW
Hourly charts has completed its ABC...


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